Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.046340 0.050503 0.054729 0.059334 0.064203 0.069190 0.074677
2025-03-02 0.038120 0.044019 0.050242 0.057268 0.064953 0.073075 0.082283
2025-03-09 0.032371 0.039437 0.047154 0.056144 0.066267 0.077251 0.090009
2025-03-16 0.029447 0.037591 0.046755 0.057716 0.070354 0.084359 0.100939
2025-03-23 0.026680 0.035602 0.045926 0.058576 0.073474 0.090291 0.110531
2025-03-30 0.024275 0.033785 0.045082 0.059230 0.076218 0.095708 0.119506
2025-04-06 0.021791 0.031633 0.043632 0.058986 0.077758 0.099630 0.126695
2025-04-13 0.020436 0.030769 0.043647 0.060423 0.081246 0.105812 0.136540
2025-04-20 0.018350 0.028779 0.042099 0.059791 0.082110 0.108790 0.142541
2025-04-27 0.016897 0.027508 0.041365 0.060092 0.084051 0.113022 0.150027
2025-05-04 0.015927 0.026815 0.041316 0.061213 0.086983 0.118449 0.158972
2025-05-11 0.015357 0.026630 0.041906 0.063140 0.090927 0.125139 0.169500
2025-05-18 0.013300 0.024191 0.039357 0.060876 0.089492 0.125173 0.171925
2025-05-25 0.011942 0.022676 0.037993 0.060116 0.089947 0.127544 0.177241
2025-06-01 0.010807 0.021409 0.036901 0.059660 0.090752 0.130333 0.183080
2025-06-08 0.010493 0.021403 0.037605 0.061683 0.094862 0.137382 0.194348
2025-06-15 0.009946 0.020980 0.037668 0.062788 0.097738 0.142856 0.203658
2025-06-22 0.009362 0.020446 0.037530 0.063584 0.100186 0.147782 0.212297
2025-06-29 0.008575 0.019507 0.036728 0.063384 0.101244 0.150879 0.218593
2025-07-06 0.008266 0.019368 0.037134 0.064926 0.104703 0.157150 0.229024
2025-07-13 0.007483 0.018324 0.036077 0.064278 0.105089 0.159339 0.234158
2025-07-20 0.006972 0.017731 0.035697 0.064603 0.106816 0.163307 0.241622
2025-07-27 0.006675 0.017512 0.035899 0.065787 0.109754 0.168904 0.251242